Software Index

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State of the Market

State of the Market

Upward momentum continued in 2024, with the S&P 500 reaching its all-time high and the NASDAQ 100 following suit. However, the Scalar Software Index's top 10 median next-twelve-month ("NTM") revenue multiple declined by 2.1% month-over-month to 15.0X, and the Scalar Software Index median NTM revenue multiple declined by 4.7% to 5.6X.

The US Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by 3.1% in January, and total nonfarm payroll employment rose by 353,000 in January, leaving the unemployment rate flat at 3.7%. Both results were stronger than expected and resulted in economists reforecasting the number of potential federal funds rate cuts expected this year.

According to AlleyWatch, $6.1B was invested in US venture-backed companies in January, in more than 470 deals. This marked a 10.5% decline from January 2023 but an increase of 21.4% from December 2023.

As the private markets continue to struggle to regain their footing, and the absence of an active M&A environment for venture-backed companies persists, venture funds are actively looking for ways to increase their distributed paid-in capital (DPI) by engaging in secondary sales of some of their portfolio companies. We anticipate this trend to continue as limited partners focus on a GP's ability to return capital versus merely reporting unrealized returns. We believe this focus will create increased opportunities for secondary funds.

Median

NTM Rev Multiple

5.6x

-4.7% month over month

Top 10*

NTM Rev Multiple

15.0x

-2.1% month over month

Median

NTM Rev Growth

11%

-0.5% month over month

Top 10*

NTM Rev Growth

27%

0.0% month over month

Median

Gross Margin

75%

0.0% month over month

Top 10*

Gross Margin

75%

0.0% month over month

*Median multiple, growth rate, and gross margin for the top 10 companies based on EV/NTM Revenue.

Index Leaders

Top 10 companies in the Software Index based on current EV / NTM Revenue Multiple.

Company
EV/NTM Rev
EV ($MM)
LTM Rev $MM
NTM Rev Growth
LTM Rev Growth
Gross Margin
Operating Margin
FCF Margin
CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc. 18.3x 67,903 2,848 30.1% 40% 75% -3% 36%
Snowflake Inc. 17.8x 60,225 2,621 29.1% 41% 67% -40% 36%
Cloudflare, Inc. 17.1x 26,388 1,209 28.0% 35% 76% -16% 18%
Datadog, Inc. 16.2x 39,431 2,008 21.6% 31% 80% -5% 26%
Zscaler, Inc. 15.3x 33,858 1,758 26.0% 45% 77% -12% 33%
MongoDB, Inc. 14.8x 28,214 1,586 20.2% 33% 75% -15% 14%
Atlassian Corporation 14.7x 63,462 3,705 16.2% 24% 82% -6% 30%
GitLab Inc. 14.7x 10,129 539 27.6% 42% 89% -35% 65%
Samsara Inc. 14.6x 16,217 848 30.9% 43% 73% -30% 16%
Manhattan Associates, Inc. 14.4x 14,680 929 10.1% 21% 54% 23% 26%
Top 10 Average 15.8x 36,051 1,805 24.0% 36% 75% -14% 30%
Top 10 Median 15.0x 31,036 1,672 26.8% 38% 75% -13% 28%
Overall Average 6.8x 57,116 5,533 12.5% 19% 72% -9% 20%
Overall Median 5.6x 5,422 694 11.3% 19% 75% -6% 20%

Multiples by Growth Tranche

Valuation multiples are strongly correlated to expected growth. Scalar has selected the tranches based on current market conditions.

EV/NTM Revenue Multiple

High Growth (> 25%)

14.7x

Multiple
Growth
SentinelOne, Inc. 9.5x 32.6%
Samsara Inc. 14.6x 30.9%
CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc. 18.3x 30.1%
Klaviyo, Inc. 7.3x 29.3%
Snowflake Inc. 17.8x 29.1%

EV/NTM Revenue Multiple

Average Growth (15%-25%)

8.2x

Multiple
Growth
DoubleVerify Holdings, Inc. 10.0x 24.3%
VTEX 5.6x 24.0%
Braze, Inc. 9.3x 23.3%
Docebo Inc. 5.6x 22.9%
JFrog Ltd. 7.3x 21.8%

EV/NTM Revenue Multiple

Low Growth (< 15%)

4.1x

Multiple
Growth
Five9, Inc. 5.6x 14.6%
Jamf Holding Corp. 4.0x 14.4%
Microsoft Corporation 11.5x 14.4%
Couchbase, Inc. 5.4x 13.8%
Tenable Holdings, Inc. 6.0x 13.4%

EV/NTM Revenue Multiple - Top Quartile

NTM Revenue Multiple and NTM Growth Rate for the top quartile of companies in the Scalar Software Index, ordered by NTM Growth Rate.

Pre- & Post- Money Deals

Averages for the trailing 6 months of successful software and SAAS fundraising, including rounds Series A through Series D.

Average

Deal Size

  1. Series A$9.0B
  2. Series B$24.0B
  3. Series C$51.0B
  4. Series D$126.2B

Average

Pre Money Valuation

  1. Series A$48.8B
  2. Series B$132.9B
  3. Series C$187.0B
  4. Series D$1,823.3B

Average

Post Money Valuation

  1. Series A$57.3B
  2. Series B$156.0B
  3. Series C$226.0B
  4. Series D$2,000.0B

The data for the Scalar Software Index is collected based on market data on the last trading day of the previous month.

Metric definitions:

  • EV/NTM Rev: Enterprise value to next twelve months revenue.
  • EV $MM: Enterprise value, calculated as the market value of equity plus net debt and minority interest, in millions of USD.
  • LTM Rev $MM: The last twelve months revenue in millions of USD.
  • NTM Rev Growth: The expected growth rate of revenue for the next twelve months.
  • LTM Rev Growth: The growth rate of revenue over the last twelve months.
  • Gross Margin: The percentage calculated from gross profit over revenue.
  • Operating Margin: The percentage calculated from operating income (EBIT) over revenue.
  • FCF Margin: The percentage calculated from unlevered free cash flow over revenue.

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Data Sources: S&P Global Market Intelligence and PitchBook Data, Inc.

Enterprise Software Operating Metrics provided by Public Comps.